ratings

The Clay Ratings Gap is Narrowing

The Clay Ratings Gap is Narrowing

In just one week, Rafael Nadal will begin his journey towards a 14th Roland Garros title. Since his first win in Paris in 2005, Nadal has dominated the surface and only injury has been a consistent foe. Will 2021 continue that pattern? This post looks at the trends in player clay ratings ahead of the French Open main draw and the story they tell about a growing threat to Nadal’s reign as the definitive ‘King of Clay’.

A Stat for Must-See Matches

A Stat for Must-See Matches

A constant conundrum for tennis fans is deciding which match to watch at any particular time. In this post, I look at how we can quanitfy the ‘must-seeness’ of a match based on it’s overall quality and competitiveness using player ratings.

Who Has Experienced the Most and Least Set Pressure this Season?

Who Has Experienced the Most and Least Set Pressure this Season?

After introducing Pressure Ratings for matches, this post looks at how a similar approach can be used to develop a Set Competitiveness rating for players. The Set Competitiveness measures the pressure of a player’s sets in a way that allows direct ranking against the pressure typically faced by other players.

Djokovic Regains No. 1 But His Climb in the Ratings Isn't Over

Djokovic Regains No. 1 But His Climb in the Ratings Isn't Over

On Monday, Novak Djokovic will regain the World No. 1 ranking, climbing from outside the top 20 at the start of the year. Djokovic’s comeback has been the major story this week. In this post, I look at his rise in terms of his match-by-match Elo rating and put it in context of his best season performances in 2011 and 2015.